Радиопромышленность. 2019; 29: 53-60
Патентный анализ: выявление перспективных направлений развития радиоэлектронных систем, использующих отражение и вторичное излучение радиоволн
https://doi.org/10.21778/2413-9599-2019-29-1-53-60Аннотация
Список литературы
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Radio industry (Russia). 2019; 29: 53-60
Patent analysis: revealing the promising trends in the advancement of radio electronic systems using the reflection or reradiation of radio waves
https://doi.org/10.21778/2413-9599-2019-29-1-53-60Abstract
To identify the promising (breakthrough) trends in the advancement of radio electronic systems with the use of US Patents and Trademark Office database this paper examines the possibilities of patent analysis. This method is based on automatic time series generation of US patents for inventions and subsequent comparison of different technical solutions in specific International Patent Classification subgroups, and in their issuance dynamics for 2007-2017. In particular, the authors analyze several promising trends in the advancement of radio electronic systems using the reflection or secondary radiation of radio waves. The data obtained allow stating that the most promising are systems using the reflection of radio waves and systems adapted for specific applications. According to the authors, the most promising systems, which use the reflection of radio waves, are systems intended solely for measuring distance using transmission of continuous unmodulated waves, amplitude-, frequency- or phase-modulated waves. Radar or analogous systems specially adapted for terrain-avoidance were found to be the most promising among systems for specific applications.
References
1. Jun S., Lee S.-J. Emerging technology forecasting using new patent information analysis. International Journal of Software Engineering and Its Applications, 2012, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 107-115.
2. Chen D.-Z., Lin Ch.-P., Huang M.-Hs., Chan Y.-T. Technology forecasting via published patent applications and patent grants. Journal of Marine Science and Technology, 2012, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 345-356.
3. Liu S., Shyu J. Strategic planning for technology development with patent analysis. International Journal of Technology Management, 1997, vol. 13, pp. 661-680.
4. Wu F.-F., Huang L.-Ch. Analysis of patent information in the electric vehicle technology of China [Elektronnyi resurs]. School of Economics & Management, Beijing University of Technology, P. R. China. URL: http://www4.pucsp.br/icim/ingles/downloads/papers/TL_010.pdf (data obrashcheniya: 11.01.2019).
5. Hall B.H., Griliches Z, Hausman J.A. Patents and R&D: is there a lag? International Economic Review, 1986, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 265-283.
6. Ernst H. The use of patent data for technological forecasting: the diffusion of CNC-technology in the machine tool industry. Small Business Economics, 1997, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 361-381.
7. Joutz F.L. Forecasting USPTO patent application filings [Elektronnyi resurs]. Proceedings of the WIPO-OECD Workshop on Statistics in the Patent Field, Geneva, Switzerland, 2003. URL: https://www.wipo.int/export/sites/www/meetings/en/2003/statistics_workshop/presentation/statistics_workshop_joutz.pdf (data obrashcheniya: 11.01.2019).
8. Adams K., Kim D., Joutz F. L., Trost R.P., Mastrogianis G. Modeling and forecasting U.S. patent application filings. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1997, vol. 19, pp. 491-535.
9. Jun S. IPC code analysis of patent documents using association rules and maps-patent analysis of database technology. Communications in Computer and Information Science, 2011, vol. 258, pp. 21-30.
10. Schmoch U. Patent analyses in the changed legal regime of the US Patent Law since 2001. World Patent Information, 2009, iss. 31, pp. 299-303.
11. Herr D., Han Q., Lohmann S., Brugmann S., Ertl T. Visual exploration of patent collections with IPC clouds [Elektronnyi resurs]. CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2014, vol. 1292. URL: http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84914703011&partnerID=40&md5=cca93346510de9e20bf0c9f135ec7a1c (data obrashcheniya: 04.01.2019).
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